Probability
Loading chart...
Snapshot history
Loading history…
BTC Outcome Contracts65
Same underlying — use to hedge perps or express different views on this asset.
BTC > $82,807 (Oct 23) [1d] — No95.2%BTC touches $90,000 by Nov 1 — No90.8%BTC touches $92,500 by Nov 1 — No96.5%BTC touches $75,000 by Nov 1 — No83.4%BTC touches $77,500 by Nov 1 — No63.4%BTC > $82,807 (Oct 23) [1d] — Yes4.8%BTC touches $87,500 by Nov 1 — No80.5%BTC touches $77,500 by Nov 1 — Yes36.6%BTC touches $90,000 by Nov 1 — Yes9.2%BTC touches $87,500 by Nov 1 — Yes19.5%BTC touches $75,000 by Nov 1 — Yes16.6%BTC touches $92,500 by Nov 1 — Yes3.5%BTC: $81,151 to $84,463 (Oct 23) — Yes70.2%BTC: $81,151 to $84,463 (Oct 23) — No29.9%BTC > $81,040 (Oct 23) — Yes72.8%BTC: Below $81,151 (Oct 23) — No70.0%BTC > $81,496 (Oct 22) — Yes71.3%BTC: Below $81,151 (Oct 23) — Yes30.0%BTC > $81,040 (Oct 23) — No27.2%BTC > $81,496 (Oct 22) — No28.7%BTC: Above $84,463 (Oct 23) — No99.1%BTC > $79,745 (Oct 23) — No49.9%BTC > $86,388 (Oct 23) — No50.2%BTC: Above $84,463 (Oct 23) — Yes0.9%BTC > $79,745 (Oct 23) — Yes50.1%BTC > $86,388 (Oct 23) — Yes49.8%BTC > $81,500 (Oct 23) — Yes50.0%BTC > $81,500 (Oct 23) — No50.0%BTC > $81,000 (Oct 23) — Yes50.0%BTC > $81,000 (Oct 23) — No50.0%BTC > $82,000 (Oct 23) — Yes50.0%BTC > $82,000 (Oct 23) — No50.0%BTC > $82,500 (Oct 23) — Yes50.0%BTC > $82,500 (Oct 23) — No50.0%BTC > $83,000 (Oct 23) — Yes13.6%BTC > $83,000 (Oct 23) — No86.4%BTC > $81,490 (Oct 26) — Yes50.0%BTC > $81,490 (Oct 26) — No50.0%BTC > $78,462 (Oct 26) — Yes50.1%BTC > $78,462 (Oct 26) — No49.9%BTC > $82,649 (Oct 26) — Yes50.0%BTC > $82,649 (Oct 26) — No50.0%BTC > $78,012 (Oct 23) — Yes50.2%BTC > $78,012 (Oct 23) — No49.8%BTC > $81,277 (Oct 23) — Yes50.0%BTC > $81,277 (Oct 23) — No50.0%BTC > $81,527 (Oct 23) — No50.0%BTC > $81,777 (Oct 23) — Yes50.0%BTC > $81,777 (Oct 23) — No50.0%BTC > $83,810 (Oct 26) — Yes50.0%BTC > $83,810 (Oct 26) — No50.0%BTC > $82,199 (Oct 23) — Yes50.0%BTC > $82,199 (Oct 23) — No50.0%BTC > $80,195 (Oct 26) — Yes50.0%BTC > $80,195 (Oct 26) — No50.0%BTC > $85,107 (Oct 26) — Yes50.0%BTC > $85,107 (Oct 26) — No50.0%BTC > $86,838 (Oct 26) — Yes49.8%BTC > $86,838 (Oct 26) — No50.2%BTC > $83,360 (Oct 23) — Yes50.0%BTC > $83,360 (Oct 23) — No50.0%BTC > $84,657 (Oct 23) — Yes49.8%BTC > $84,657 (Oct 23) — No50.2%BTC > $81,268 (Oct 22) — Yes98.9%BTC > $81,268 (Oct 22) — No1.1%
YES + NO price sum
Yes50.0%
No50.0%
Mid sum100.0%
Ask sumnot quoted
Mid-based sum is indicative. Check the order book to estimate executable cost.
Market Note
Resolves on the Hyperliquid BTC perp trade · 90s TWAP (deployer-declared)