Probability
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Snapshot history
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CL Outcome Contracts21
Same underlying — use to hedge perps or express different views on this asset.
CL touches $105 by Dec 1 — No77.8%CL touches $105 by Dec 1 — Yes22.2%CL touches $110 by Dec 1 — No82.9%CL > $96.606 (Nov 4) — No99.9%CL touches $110 by Dec 1 — Yes17.1%CL touches $102.5 by Dec 1 — Yes60.8%CL touches $107.5 by Dec 1 — No83.6%CL touches $100 by Dec 1 — Yes66.3%CL touches $107.5 by Dec 1 — Yes16.4%CL > $88 (Nov 30) — Yes24.4%CL touches $102.5 by Dec 1 — No39.2%CL > $108 (Nov 30) — No91.3%CL > $88 (Nov 30) — No75.6%CL > $97.5 (Nov 6) — No94.5%CL touches $100 by Dec 1 — No33.7%CL > $108 (Nov 30) — Yes8.7%CL > $97.5 (Nov 6) — Yes5.5%CL > $93 (Nov 6) — No82.9%CL > $93 (Nov 6) — Yes17.1%CL > $102 (Nov 6) — No98.1%CL > $102 (Nov 6) — Yes1.9%
YES + NO price sum
Yes0.1%
No99.9%
Mid sum100.0%
Ask sumnot quoted
Mid-based sum is indicative. Check the order book to estimate executable cost.
Market Note
Market is pricing a near-certain outcome at 0.1%. Consider the asymmetric risk/reward before trading.
Resolves on xyz:CL-USDC perp mark · 60s TWAP (deployer-declared)