Probability
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Snapshot history
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CL Outcome Contracts15
Same underlying — use to hedge perps or express different views on this asset.
CL touches $85 by Nov 1 — No93.7%CL touches $105 by Nov 1 — No60.3%CL touches $75 by Nov 1 — No98.6%CL touches $105 by Nov 1 — Yes39.7%CL > $97.705 (Oct 22) — No1.0%CL touches $80 by Nov 1 — No98.3%CL > $99.9 (Oct 22) — No50.1%CL touches $85 by Nov 1 — Yes6.3%CL > $99.9 (Oct 22) — Yes49.9%CL touches $80 by Nov 1 — Yes1.7%CL touches $75 by Nov 1 — Yes1.4%CL > $100 (Oct 30) — Yes44.3%CL > $100 (Oct 30) — No55.7%CL > $82 (Oct 30) — Yes97.4%CL > $82 (Oct 30) — No2.7%
YES + NO price sum
Yes99.0%
No1.0%
Mid sum100.0%
Ask sumnot quoted
Mid-based sum is indicative. Check the order book to estimate executable cost.
Market Note
Market is pricing a near-certain outcome at 99.0%. Consider the asymmetric risk/reward before trading.
Resolves on xyz:CL-USDC perp mark · 60s TWAP (deployer-declared)