Probability
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Snapshot history
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GOLD Outcome Contracts11
Same underlying — use to hedge perps or express different views on this asset.
GOLD > $3,923 (Nov 4) — No3.2%GOLD > $4,150 (Nov 6) — No78.7%GOLD > $4,150 (Nov 6) — Yes21.3%GOLD > $4,400 (Nov 30) — Yes40.2%GOLD > $4,400 (Nov 30) — No59.8%GOLD > $3,960 (Nov 6) — Yes47.5%GOLD > $3,960 (Nov 6) — No52.5%GOLD > $3,750 (Nov 6) — Yes50.0%GOLD > $3,750 (Nov 6) — No50.0%GOLD > $3,600 (Nov 30) — Yes54.8%GOLD > $3,600 (Nov 30) — No45.2%
YES + NO price sum
Yes96.8%
No3.2%
Mid sum100.0%
Ask sumnot quoted
Mid-based sum is indicative. Check the order book to estimate executable cost.
Market Note
Market is pricing a near-certain outcome at 96.8%. Consider the asymmetric risk/reward before trading.
Resolves on xyz:GOLD-USDC perp mark · 60s TWAP (deployer-declared)