Probability
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Snapshot history
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SPCX Outcome Contracts11
Same underlying — use to hedge perps or express different views on this asset.
SPCX > $140.73 (Nov 4) — No87.7%SPCX > $130 (Nov 6) — Yes82.8%SPCX > $140.73 (Nov 4) — Yes12.3%SPCX > $130 (Nov 6) — No17.2%SPCX > $150 (Nov 30) — No77.0%SPCX > $137 (Nov 6) — Yes48.8%SPCX > $137 (Nov 6) — No51.2%SPCX > $150 (Nov 30) — Yes23.0%SPCX > $125 (Nov 30) — Yes69.8%SPCX > $125 (Nov 30) — No30.2%SPCX > $144 (Nov 6) — Yes16.3%
YES + NO price sum
Yes16.3%
No83.7%
Mid sum100.0%
Ask sumnot quoted
Mid-based sum is indicative. Check the order book to estimate executable cost.
Market Note
Resolves on 1-minute candle · 5m TWAP (deployer-declared)