Probability
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Snapshot history
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BTC Outcome Contracts53
Same underlying — use to hedge perps or express different views on this asset.
BTC > $77,284 (Sep 14) [1d] — No82.7%BTC > $77,284 (Sep 14) [1d] — Yes17.3%BTC touches $60,000 by Oct 1 — No97.4%BTC touches $65,000 by Oct 1 — No90.8%BTC touches $90,000 by Oct 1 — No91.4%BTC touches $70,000 by Oct 1 — No69.8%BTC touches $85,000 by Oct 1 — No76.8%BTC > $100,000 (Oct 1) — No97.9%BTC touches $95,000 by Oct 1 — No97.2%BTC touches $70,000 by Oct 1 — Yes30.2%BTC touches $100,000 by Oct 1 — No98.7%BTC: Below $75,738 (Sep 14) — No92.4%BTC touches $85,000 by Oct 1 — Yes23.2%BTC: Above $78,829 (Sep 14) — No99.2%BTC: $75,738 to $78,829 (Sep 14) — Yes85.6%BTC touches $65,000 by Oct 1 — Yes9.2%BTC touches $90,000 by Oct 1 — Yes8.6%BTC touches $60,000 by Oct 1 — Yes2.6%BTC: Below $75,738 (Sep 14) — Yes7.6%BTC > $100,000 (Oct 1) — Yes2.1%BTC: Above $78,829 (Sep 14) — Yes0.8%BTC: $75,738 to $78,829 (Sep 14) — No14.4%BTC touches $95,000 by Oct 1 — Yes2.9%BTC touches $100,000 by Oct 1 — Yes1.3%BTC > $77,075 (Sep 14) — Yes9.5%BTC > $77,325 (Sep 14) — Yes6.5%BTC > $77,575 (Sep 14) — No94.5%BTC > $77,075 (Sep 14) — No90.5%BTC > $77,325 (Sep 14) — No93.5%BTC > $77,575 (Sep 14) — Yes5.5%BTC > $77,850 (Sep 14) — No94.0%BTC > $76,650 (Sep 14) — Yes53.0%BTC > $74,950 (Sep 14) — Yes94.0%BTC > $77,850 (Sep 14) — Yes6.0%BTC > $76,650 (Sep 14) — No47.0%BTC > $74,950 (Sep 14) — No6.0%BTC > $76,702 (Sep 14) — Yes49.0%BTC > $76,702 (Sep 14) — No51.0%BTC > $74,950 (Sep 16) — Yes50.0%BTC > $74,950 (Sep 16) — No50.0%BTC > $74,950 (Sep 18) — No50.0%BTC > $77,250 (Sep 14) — Yes20.0%BTC > $77,250 (Sep 14) — No80.0%BTC > $77,250 (Sep 16) — Yes50.0%BTC > $77,250 (Sep 16) — No50.0%BTC > $77,250 (Sep 18) — Yes50.0%BTC > $77,250 (Sep 18) — No50.0%BTC > $79,550 (Sep 14) — Yes6.0%BTC > $79,550 (Sep 14) — No94.0%BTC > $79,550 (Sep 16) — Yes50.0%BTC > $79,550 (Sep 16) — No50.0%BTC > $79,550 (Sep 18) — Yes50.0%BTC > $79,550 (Sep 18) — No50.0%
YES + NO price sum
Yes50.0%
No50.0%
Mid sum100.0%
Ask sumnot quoted
Mid-based sum is indicative. Check the order book to estimate executable cost.
Market Note
Resolves on the Pyth BTC/USD price · 90s TWAP (deployer-declared)