Probability
Loading chart...
Snapshot history
Loading history…
BTC Outcome Contracts55
Same underlying — use to hedge perps or express different views on this asset.
BTC > $77,284 (Sep 14) [1d] — No85.0%BTC > $77,284 (Sep 14) [1d] — Yes15.0%BTC touches $60,000 by Oct 1 — No97.4%BTC touches $90,000 by Oct 1 — No91.6%BTC touches $65,000 by Oct 1 — No90.7%BTC touches $70,000 by Oct 1 — No69.8%BTC touches $85,000 by Oct 1 — No76.9%BTC > $100,000 (Oct 1) — No97.9%BTC touches $95,000 by Oct 1 — No97.1%BTC touches $70,000 by Oct 1 — Yes30.2%BTC touches $100,000 by Oct 1 — No98.7%BTC: Below $75,738 (Sep 14) — No92.4%BTC touches $85,000 by Oct 1 — Yes23.1%BTC: Above $78,829 (Sep 14) — No99.3%BTC: $75,738 to $78,829 (Sep 14) — Yes85.6%BTC touches $90,000 by Oct 1 — Yes8.4%BTC touches $65,000 by Oct 1 — Yes9.3%BTC touches $60,000 by Oct 1 — Yes2.6%BTC: Below $75,738 (Sep 14) — Yes7.6%BTC > $100,000 (Oct 1) — Yes2.1%BTC: Above $78,829 (Sep 14) — Yes0.7%BTC: $75,738 to $78,829 (Sep 14) — No14.4%BTC touches $95,000 by Oct 1 — Yes2.9%BTC touches $100,000 by Oct 1 — Yes1.3%BTC > $77,075 (Sep 14) — Yes9.0%BTC > $77,325 (Sep 14) — Yes6.5%BTC > $77,575 (Sep 14) — No94.5%BTC > $77,075 (Sep 14) — No91.0%BTC > $77,325 (Sep 14) — No93.5%BTC > $77,575 (Sep 14) — Yes5.5%BTC > $77,850 (Sep 14) — No94.0%BTC > $76,650 (Sep 14) — Yes53.0%BTC > $74,950 (Sep 14) — Yes94.0%BTC > $76,650 (Sep 14) — No47.0%BTC > $74,950 (Sep 14) — No6.0%BTC > $76,698 (Sep 13) — Yes29.5%BTC > $76,698 (Sep 13) — No70.5%BTC > $76,702 (Sep 14) — Yes37.0%BTC > $76,702 (Sep 14) — No63.0%BTC > $74,950 (Sep 16) — Yes50.0%BTC > $74,950 (Sep 16) — No50.0%BTC > $74,950 (Sep 18) — Yes50.0%BTC > $74,950 (Sep 18) — No50.0%BTC > $77,250 (Sep 14) — Yes17.0%BTC > $77,250 (Sep 14) — No83.0%BTC > $77,250 (Sep 16) — Yes50.0%BTC > $77,250 (Sep 16) — No50.0%BTC > $77,250 (Sep 18) — Yes50.0%BTC > $77,250 (Sep 18) — No50.0%BTC > $79,550 (Sep 14) — Yes6.0%BTC > $79,550 (Sep 14) — No94.0%BTC > $79,550 (Sep 16) — Yes50.0%BTC > $79,550 (Sep 16) — No50.0%BTC > $79,550 (Sep 18) — Yes50.0%BTC > $79,550 (Sep 18) — No50.0%
YES + NO price sum
Yes6.0%
No94.0%
Mid sum100.0%
Ask sumnot quoted
Mid-based sum is indicative. Check the order book to estimate executable cost.
Market Note
Resolves on the Hyperliquid BTC perp trade · 90s TWAP (deployer-declared)