Probability
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Snapshot history
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BTC Outcome Contracts69
Same underlying — use to hedge perps or express different views on this asset.
BTC touches $87,500 by Nov 1 — No95.8%BTC touches $90,000 by Nov 1 — No98.5%BTC touches $77,500 by Nov 1 — No57.5%BTC > $79,957 (Oct 28) [1d] — No60.4%BTC touches $75,000 by Nov 1 — No88.1%BTC touches $77,500 by Nov 1 — Yes42.5%BTC > $79,957 (Oct 28) [1d] — Yes39.6%BTC touches $92,500 by Nov 1 — No99.3%BTC touches $75,000 by Nov 1 — Yes11.9%BTC touches $87,500 by Nov 1 — Yes4.3%BTC touches $90,000 by Nov 1 — Yes1.5%BTC touches $92,500 by Nov 1 — Yes0.7%BTC > $78,000 (Oct 30) — Yes57.4%BTC > $79,679 (Oct 27) — Yes45.6%BTC > $79,679 (Oct 27) — No54.4%BTC > $79,851 (Oct 27) — No94.0%BTC: $78,357 to $81,556 (Oct 28) — No23.6%BTC > $79,851 (Oct 27) — Yes6.0%BTC > $78,000 (Oct 30) — No42.6%BTC: $78,357 to $81,556 (Oct 28) — Yes76.4%BTC > $80,000 (Oct 28) — Yes50.0%BTC > $80,000 (Oct 28) — No50.0%BTC > $80,000 (Oct 30) — Yes55.4%BTC > $80,000 (Oct 30) — No44.6%BTC > $79,000 (Oct 30) — Yes57.6%BTC > $79,000 (Oct 30) — No42.4%BTC > $81,000 (Oct 30) — Yes50.0%BTC > $81,000 (Oct 30) — No50.0%BTC > $80,500 (Oct 28) — Yes50.0%BTC > $80,500 (Oct 28) — No50.0%BTC > $79,500 (Oct 28) — Yes50.0%BTC > $79,500 (Oct 28) — No50.0%BTC > $79,000 (Nov 2) — Yes50.0%BTC > $79,000 (Nov 2) — No50.0%BTC > $78,000 (Nov 2) — Yes50.0%BTC > $78,000 (Nov 2) — No50.0%BTC > $82,000 (Oct 30) — Yes50.0%BTC > $82,000 (Oct 30) — No50.0%BTC > $83,000 (Oct 30) — Yes50.0%BTC > $83,000 (Oct 30) — No50.0%BTC > $77,000 (Nov 2) — Yes50.0%BTC > $77,000 (Nov 2) — No50.0%BTC > $80,000 (Nov 2) — Yes50.0%BTC > $80,000 (Nov 2) — No50.0%BTC > $81,000 (Nov 2) — Yes50.0%BTC > $81,000 (Nov 2) — No50.0%BTC: Below $78,357 (Oct 28) — Yes15.5%BTC: Below $78,357 (Oct 28) — No84.5%BTC > $79,000 (Oct 28) — Yes50.0%BTC > $79,000 (Oct 28) — No50.0%BTC > $84,000 (Oct 30) — Yes50.0%BTC > $84,000 (Oct 30) — No50.0%BTC > $81,000 (Oct 28) — Yes50.0%BTC > $81,000 (Oct 28) — No50.0%BTC: Above $81,556 (Oct 28) — Yes28.9%BTC: Above $81,556 (Oct 28) — No71.1%BTC > $79,552 (Oct 27) — Yes51.9%BTC > $82,000 (Nov 2) — Yes50.0%BTC > $82,000 (Nov 2) — No50.0%BTC > $83,000 (Nov 2) — Yes50.0%BTC > $83,000 (Nov 2) — No50.0%BTC > $79,802 (Oct 27) — Yes50.2%BTC > $79,802 (Oct 27) — No49.8%BTC > $80,052 (Oct 27) — Yes44.9%BTC > $80,052 (Oct 27) — No55.1%BTC > $79,700 (Oct 27) — Yes32.5%BTC > $79,700 (Oct 27) — No67.5%BTC > $79,710 (Oct 27) — Yes19.9%BTC > $79,710 (Oct 27) — No80.1%
YES + NO price sum
Yes51.9%
No48.1%
Mid sum100.0%
Ask sumnot quoted
Mid-based sum is indicative. Check the order book to estimate executable cost.
Market Note
Resolves on the Hyperliquid BTC perp trade · 90s TWAP (deployer-declared)