Probability
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Snapshot history
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BTC Outcome Contracts69
Same underlying — use to hedge perps or express different views on this asset.
BTC touches $87,500 by Nov 1 — No95.3%BTC touches $77,500 by Nov 1 — No54.9%BTC touches $90,000 by Nov 1 — No97.9%BTC touches $75,000 by Nov 1 — No83.8%BTC touches $77,500 by Nov 1 — Yes45.1%BTC > $79,957 (Oct 28) [1d] — No58.8%BTC touches $92,500 by Nov 1 — No98.7%BTC > $79,957 (Oct 28) [1d] — Yes41.2%BTC touches $75,000 by Nov 1 — Yes16.2%BTC touches $87,500 by Nov 1 — Yes4.7%BTC touches $90,000 by Nov 1 — Yes2.1%BTC > $79,757 (Oct 27) — Yes36.3%BTC > $79,757 (Oct 27) — No63.8%BTC touches $92,500 by Nov 1 — Yes1.3%BTC > $78,000 (Oct 30) — Yes57.4%BTC > $79,750 (Oct 27) — Yes38.5%BTC > $79,750 (Oct 27) — No61.5%BTC > $79,828 (Oct 27) — No77.5%BTC: $78,357 to $81,556 (Oct 28) — No98.9%BTC > $79,828 (Oct 27) — Yes22.5%BTC > $78,000 (Oct 30) — No42.6%BTC: $78,357 to $81,556 (Oct 28) — Yes1.1%BTC > $80,000 (Oct 28) — Yes50.0%BTC > $80,000 (Oct 28) — No50.0%BTC > $80,000 (Oct 30) — Yes54.9%BTC > $80,000 (Oct 30) — No45.1%BTC > $79,000 (Oct 30) — Yes53.1%BTC > $79,000 (Oct 30) — No46.9%BTC > $81,000 (Oct 30) — Yes50.0%BTC > $81,000 (Oct 30) — No50.0%BTC > $80,500 (Oct 28) — Yes50.0%BTC > $80,500 (Oct 28) — No50.0%BTC > $79,500 (Oct 28) — Yes50.0%BTC > $79,500 (Oct 28) — No50.0%BTC > $79,000 (Nov 2) — Yes50.0%BTC > $79,000 (Nov 2) — No50.0%BTC > $78,000 (Nov 2) — Yes50.0%BTC > $78,000 (Nov 2) — No50.0%BTC > $82,000 (Oct 30) — Yes50.0%BTC > $82,000 (Oct 30) — No50.0%BTC > $83,000 (Oct 30) — No50.0%BTC > $77,000 (Nov 2) — Yes50.0%BTC > $77,000 (Nov 2) — No50.0%BTC > $80,000 (Nov 2) — Yes50.0%BTC > $80,000 (Nov 2) — No50.0%BTC > $81,000 (Nov 2) — Yes50.0%BTC > $81,000 (Nov 2) — No50.0%BTC: Below $78,357 (Oct 28) — Yes50.0%BTC: Below $78,357 (Oct 28) — No50.0%BTC > $79,000 (Oct 28) — Yes50.0%BTC > $79,000 (Oct 28) — No50.0%BTC > $84,000 (Oct 30) — Yes50.0%BTC > $84,000 (Oct 30) — No50.0%BTC > $81,000 (Oct 28) — Yes50.0%BTC > $81,000 (Oct 28) — No50.0%BTC: Above $81,556 (Oct 28) — Yes29.6%BTC: Above $81,556 (Oct 28) — No70.4%BTC > $79,552 (Oct 27) — Yes52.2%BTC > $79,552 (Oct 27) — No47.8%BTC > $82,000 (Nov 2) — Yes50.0%BTC > $82,000 (Nov 2) — No50.0%BTC > $83,000 (Nov 2) — Yes50.0%BTC > $83,000 (Nov 2) — No50.0%BTC > $79,802 (Oct 27) — Yes50.0%BTC > $79,802 (Oct 27) — No50.0%BTC > $80,052 (Oct 27) — Yes49.3%BTC > $80,052 (Oct 27) — No50.7%BTC > $79,720 (Oct 27) — Yes65.6%BTC > $79,720 (Oct 27) — No34.4%
YES + NO price sum
Yes50.0%
No50.0%
Mid sum100.0%
Ask sumnot quoted
Mid-based sum is indicative. Check the order book to estimate executable cost.
Market Note
Resolves on the Pyth BTC/USD price · 90s TWAP (deployer-declared)