Probability
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Snapshot history
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BTC Outcome Contracts73
Same underlying — use to hedge perps or express different views on this asset.
BTC > $77,719 (Nov 5) [1d] — Yes98.1%BTC touches $90,000 by Dec 1 — No75.8%BTC > $77,719 (Nov 5) [1d] — No2.0%BTC touches $65,000 by Dec 1 — No89.9%BTC touches $70,000 by Dec 1 — No78.8%BTC touches $75,000 by Dec 1 — Yes50.6%BTC touches $85,000 by Dec 1 — No44.2%BTC touches $85,000 by Dec 1 — Yes55.8%BTC touches $70,000 by Dec 1 — Yes21.2%BTC touches $75,000 by Dec 1 — No49.4%BTC touches $90,000 by Dec 1 — Yes24.2%BTC touches $65,000 by Dec 1 — Yes10.1%BTC: Below $76,164 (Nov 5) — No61.4%BTC: $76,164 to $79,273 (Nov 5) — No66.4%BTC: $76,164 to $79,273 (Nov 5) — Yes33.6%BTC: Below $76,164 (Nov 5) — Yes38.6%BTC > $78,000 (Nov 6) — Yes50.1%BTC > $78,000 (Nov 9) — Yes50.1%BTC > $78,000 (Nov 9) — No49.9%BTC > $79,000 (Nov 5) — Yes74.6%BTC > $78,000 (Nov 6) — No49.9%BTC > $80,300 (Nov 4) — No76.9%BTC > $76,000 (Nov 6) — Yes50.5%BTC > $76,000 (Nov 9) — Yes50.5%BTC > $76,000 (Nov 9) — No49.5%BTC > $76,000 (Nov 6) — No49.5%BTC > $77,600 (Nov 4) — Yes93.7%BTC > $79,000 (Nov 5) — No25.4%BTC > $80,304 (Nov 4) — No75.9%BTC > $77,000 (Nov 9) — Yes50.1%BTC > $77,000 (Nov 6) — No49.5%BTC > $77,000 (Nov 9) — No49.9%BTC > $80,300 (Nov 4) — Yes23.1%BTC > $77,000 (Nov 6) — Yes50.5%BTC: Above $79,273 (Nov 5) — Yes50.0%BTC > $80,304 (Nov 4) — Yes24.1%BTC > $77,600 (Nov 4) — No6.3%BTC: Above $79,273 (Nov 5) — No50.0%BTC > $77,500 (Nov 5) — Yes50.5%BTC > $77,500 (Nov 5) — No49.5%BTC > $77,000 (Nov 5) — Yes50.5%BTC > $77,000 (Nov 5) — No49.5%BTC > $78,500 (Nov 5) — Yes50.1%BTC > $78,500 (Nov 5) — No49.9%BTC > $78,000 (Nov 5) — Yes50.5%BTC > $78,000 (Nov 5) — No49.5%BTC > $75,000 (Nov 6) — Yes50.3%BTC > $75,000 (Nov 6) — No49.7%BTC > $75,000 (Nov 9) — Yes50.5%BTC > $75,000 (Nov 9) — No49.5%BTC > $74,000 (Nov 9) — Yes50.5%BTC > $74,000 (Nov 9) — No49.5%BTC > $79,000 (Nov 6) — Yes50.1%BTC > $79,000 (Nov 6) — No49.9%BTC > $79,000 (Nov 9) — Yes50.0%BTC > $79,000 (Nov 9) — No50.0%BTC > $80,000 (Nov 6) — Yes50.0%BTC > $80,000 (Nov 6) — No50.0%BTC > $80,077 (Nov 4) — Yes83.5%BTC > $80,077 (Nov 4) — No16.5%BTC > $80,327 (Nov 4) — Yes50.0%BTC > $80,577 (Nov 4) — Yes49.5%BTC > $80,577 (Nov 4) — No50.5%BTC > $80,000 (Nov 9) — Yes50.0%BTC > $80,000 (Nov 9) — No50.0%BTC > $80,312 (Nov 4) — Yes50.0%BTC > $80,312 (Nov 4) — No50.0%BTC > $81,000 (Nov 6) — Yes49.9%BTC > $81,000 (Nov 6) — No50.1%BTC > $80,180 (Nov 4) — Yes76.5%BTC > $80,180 (Nov 4) — No23.5%BTC > $80,300 (Nov 4) — Yes37.7%BTC > $80,300 (Nov 4) — No62.3%
YES + NO price sum
Yes50.0%
No50.0%
Mid sum100.0%
Ask sumnot quoted
Mid-based sum is indicative. Check the order book to estimate executable cost.
Market Note
Resolves on the Hyperliquid BTC perp trade · 90s TWAP (deployer-declared)