Probability
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Snapshot history
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BTC Outcome Contracts73
Same underlying — use to hedge perps or express different views on this asset.
BTC > $77,719 (Nov 5) [1d] — Yes98.6%BTC touches $90,000 by Dec 1 — No74.8%BTC > $77,719 (Nov 5) [1d] — No1.5%BTC touches $65,000 by Dec 1 — No90.4%BTC touches $75,000 by Dec 1 — Yes48.3%BTC touches $70,000 by Dec 1 — No79.1%BTC touches $85,000 by Dec 1 — No42.8%BTC touches $85,000 by Dec 1 — Yes57.2%BTC touches $75,000 by Dec 1 — No51.7%BTC touches $70,000 by Dec 1 — Yes20.9%BTC touches $65,000 by Dec 1 — Yes9.6%BTC: Below $76,164 (Nov 5) — No92.9%BTC: $76,164 to $79,273 (Nov 5) — No66.4%BTC: $76,164 to $79,273 (Nov 5) — Yes33.6%BTC: Below $76,164 (Nov 5) — Yes7.1%BTC > $80,375 (Nov 4) — Yes94.0%BTC > $78,000 (Nov 6) — Yes50.1%BTC > $78,000 (Nov 9) — Yes50.1%BTC > $78,000 (Nov 9) — No49.9%BTC > $79,000 (Nov 5) — Yes50.1%BTC > $78,000 (Nov 6) — No49.9%BTC > $76,000 (Nov 6) — Yes50.5%BTC > $76,000 (Nov 9) — Yes50.5%BTC > $76,000 (Nov 9) — No49.5%BTC > $76,000 (Nov 6) — No49.5%BTC > $80,375 (Nov 4) — No6.0%BTC > $77,600 (Nov 4) — Yes93.6%BTC > $80,640 (Nov 4) — Yes68.5%BTC > $80,640 (Nov 4) — No31.5%BTC > $79,000 (Nov 5) — No49.9%BTC > $77,000 (Nov 9) — Yes50.1%BTC > $77,000 (Nov 6) — No49.5%BTC > $77,000 (Nov 9) — No49.9%BTC > $77,000 (Nov 6) — Yes50.5%BTC: Above $79,273 (Nov 5) — Yes50.0%BTC > $77,600 (Nov 4) — No6.4%BTC: Above $79,273 (Nov 5) — No50.0%BTC > $77,500 (Nov 5) — Yes50.5%BTC > $77,500 (Nov 5) — No49.5%BTC > $77,000 (Nov 5) — Yes50.5%BTC > $77,000 (Nov 5) — No49.5%BTC > $78,500 (Nov 5) — Yes50.5%BTC > $78,500 (Nov 5) — No49.5%BTC > $78,000 (Nov 5) — Yes50.5%BTC > $78,000 (Nov 5) — No49.5%BTC > $75,000 (Nov 6) — Yes50.3%BTC > $75,000 (Nov 6) — No49.7%BTC > $75,000 (Nov 9) — Yes50.5%BTC > $75,000 (Nov 9) — No49.5%BTC > $74,000 (Nov 9) — Yes50.5%BTC > $74,000 (Nov 9) — No49.5%BTC > $79,000 (Nov 6) — Yes50.1%BTC > $79,000 (Nov 6) — No49.9%BTC > $79,000 (Nov 9) — Yes50.1%BTC > $79,000 (Nov 9) — No49.9%BTC > $80,000 (Nov 6) — Yes50.0%BTC > $80,000 (Nov 6) — No50.0%BTC > $80,077 (Nov 4) — Yes94.0%BTC > $80,077 (Nov 4) — No6.0%BTC > $80,327 (Nov 4) — Yes50.1%BTC > $80,327 (Nov 4) — No49.9%BTC > $80,577 (Nov 4) — Yes50.0%BTC > $80,577 (Nov 4) — No50.0%BTC > $80,000 (Nov 9) — Yes50.0%BTC > $80,000 (Nov 9) — No50.0%BTC > $80,431 (Nov 4) — Yes50.1%BTC > $80,431 (Nov 4) — No49.9%BTC > $81,000 (Nov 6) — Yes50.0%BTC > $81,000 (Nov 6) — No50.0%BTC > $80,400 (Nov 4) — Yes94.1%BTC > $80,400 (Nov 4) — No5.9%BTC > $80,400 (Nov 4) — Yes84.2%BTC > $80,400 (Nov 4) — No15.8%
YES + NO price sum
Yes25.2%
No74.8%
Mid sum100.0%
Ask sumnot quoted
Mid-based sum is indicative. Check the order book to estimate executable cost.
Market Note
Resolves on BTC-USDC perp mark · 3s TWAP (deployer-declared)