Probability
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Snapshot history
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XYZ100 Outcome Contracts19
Same underlying — use to hedge perps or express different views on this asset.
XYZ100 > $28,141 (Nov 4) — No29.0%XYZ100 > $28,141 (Nov 4) — Yes71.0%XYZ100 > $27,895 (Nov 6) — Yes89.7%XYZ100 > $27,895 (Nov 6) — No10.3%XYZ100 > $27,405 (Nov 9) — Yes95.0%XYZ100 > $27,405 (Nov 9) — No5.0%XYZ100 > $29,365 (Nov 4) — Yes1.6%XYZ100 > $29,365 (Nov 4) — No98.4%XYZ100 > $29,890 (Nov 4) — Yes1.1%XYZ100 > $29,890 (Nov 4) — No98.9%XYZ100 > $28,420 (Nov 6) — Yes66.0%XYZ100 > $28,420 (Nov 6) — No34.0%XYZ100 > $28,945 (Nov 6) — Yes28.9%XYZ100 > $28,945 (Nov 6) — No71.1%XYZ100 > $27,930 (Nov 9) — Yes84.6%XYZ100 > $27,930 (Nov 9) — No15.4%XYZ100 > $30,415 (Nov 4) — Yes1.8%XYZ100 > $28,455 (Nov 9) — Yes62.1%XYZ100 > $28,455 (Nov 9) — No37.9%
YES + NO price sum
Yes1.8%
No98.2%
Mid sum100.0%
Ask sumnot quoted
Mid-based sum is indicative. Check the order book to estimate executable cost.
Market Note
Market is pricing a near-certain outcome at 98.2%. Consider the asymmetric risk/reward before trading.
Resolves on the Pyth US100 index price · 90s TWAP (deployer-declared)