Probability
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Snapshot history
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BTC Outcome Contracts41
Same underlying — use to hedge perps or express different views on this asset.
BTC > $77,234 (Sep 12) [1d] — Yes57.9%BTC > $77,234 (Sep 12) [1d] — No42.1%BTC touches $65,000 by Oct 1 — No91.5%BTC touches $60,000 by Oct 1 — No97.8%BTC touches $85,000 by Oct 1 — No73.8%BTC touches $90,000 by Oct 1 — No91.1%BTC touches $95,000 by Oct 1 — No93.5%BTC touches $85,000 by Oct 1 — Yes26.2%BTC touches $70,000 by Oct 1 — No74.9%BTC touches $100,000 by Oct 1 — No98.3%BTC: Below $75,689 (Sep 12) — No99.9%BTC touches $65,000 by Oct 1 — Yes8.5%BTC touches $70,000 by Oct 1 — Yes25.1%BTC: Above $78,778 (Sep 12) — No91.3%BTC: $75,689 to $78,778 (Sep 12) — Yes75.8%BTC touches $90,000 by Oct 1 — Yes8.9%BTC: Above $78,778 (Sep 12) — Yes8.7%BTC: $75,689 to $78,778 (Sep 12) — No24.2%BTC > $77,850 (Sep 12) — Yes43.0%BTC > $77,850 (Sep 12) — No57.0%BTC > $100,000 (Oct 1) — No98.2%BTC touches $95,000 by Oct 1 — Yes6.5%BTC touches $60,000 by Oct 1 — Yes2.2%BTC > $76,650 (Sep 12) — Yes99.0%BTC touches $100,000 by Oct 1 — Yes1.7%BTC > $77,211 (Sep 12) — Yes50.0%BTC > $76,650 (Sep 12) — No1.0%BTC > $77,152 (Sep 11) — Yes50.0%BTC > $77,211 (Sep 12) — No50.0%BTC > $77,152 (Sep 11) — No50.0%BTC > $100,000 (Oct 1) — Yes1.9%BTC > $77,188 (Sep 12) — Yes51.5%BTC > $77,188 (Sep 12) — No48.5%BTC > $77,000 (Sep 12) — Yes48.5%BTC > $77,000 (Sep 12) — No51.5%BTC > $77,250 (Sep 12) — Yes44.0%BTC > $77,250 (Sep 12) — No56.0%BTC > $77,500 (Sep 12) — Yes16.0%BTC > $77,500 (Sep 12) — No84.0%BTC > $77,205 (Sep 12) — Yes46.0%BTC > $77,205 (Sep 12) — No54.0%
YES + NO price sum
Yes0.1%
No99.9%
Mid sum100.0%
Ask sumnot quoted
Mid-based sum is indicative. Check the order book to estimate executable cost.
Market Note
Market is pricing a near-certain outcome at 0.1%. Consider the asymmetric risk/reward before trading.