Probability
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Snapshot history
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BTC Outcome Contracts37
Same underlying — use to hedge perps or express different views on this asset.
BTC touches $65,000 by Oct 1 — No91.5%BTC touches $60,000 by Oct 1 — No97.6%BTC touches $85,000 by Oct 1 — No72.8%BTC touches $90,000 by Oct 1 — No91.0%BTC touches $95,000 by Oct 1 — No96.7%BTC touches $85,000 by Oct 1 — Yes27.3%BTC touches $70,000 by Oct 1 — No74.9%BTC touches $100,000 by Oct 1 — No98.3%BTC touches $65,000 by Oct 1 — Yes8.5%BTC touches $70,000 by Oct 1 — Yes25.1%BTC touches $90,000 by Oct 1 — Yes9.0%BTC > $100,000 (Oct 1) — No98.2%BTC touches $60,000 by Oct 1 — Yes2.4%BTC touches $95,000 by Oct 1 — Yes3.4%BTC > $77,179 (Sep 13) [1d] — Yes51.5%BTC > $77,179 (Sep 13) [1d] — No48.6%BTC touches $100,000 by Oct 1 — Yes1.7%BTC > $77,179 (Sep 12) — Yes47.5%BTC > $77,179 (Sep 12) — No52.5%BTC > $100,000 (Oct 1) — Yes1.9%BTC > $77,188 (Sep 12) — Yes49.1%BTC > $77,188 (Sep 12) — No50.9%BTC > $77,000 (Sep 12) — Yes50.0%BTC > $77,000 (Sep 12) — No50.0%BTC > $77,250 (Sep 12) — Yes42.0%BTC > $77,250 (Sep 12) — No58.0%BTC > $77,500 (Sep 12) — No84.0%BTC > $76,650 (Sep 13) — Yes50.0%BTC > $76,650 (Sep 13) — No50.0%BTC > $77,850 (Sep 13) — Yes48.0%BTC > $77,850 (Sep 13) — No52.0%BTC: Below $75,635 (Sep 13) — Yes27.5%BTC: Below $75,635 (Sep 13) — No72.5%BTC: $75,635 to $78,722 (Sep 13) — Yes71.6%BTC: $75,635 to $78,722 (Sep 13) — No28.4%BTC: Above $78,722 (Sep 13) — Yes27.8%BTC: Above $78,722 (Sep 13) — No72.2%
YES + NO price sum
Yes16.0%
No84.0%
Mid sum100.0%
Ask sumnot quoted
Mid-based sum is indicative. Check the order book to estimate executable cost.
Market Note
Resolves on the Hyperliquid BTC perp trade · 90s TWAP (deployer-declared)