Outcome Terminal

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Markets—

24h Volume—

Open Interest—

Network—

Event#191 · 3 candidates

Fed rate decision — September 2026

decisionDeadline:20261028-2359|decisionLabel:September 2026|institution:Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee|officialSource:Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee|policyMeasure:the upper bound target range for the federal funds rate|scheduledDecision:20260916-1800

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Σ 99.9%

Candidates · pick another to switch3 of 3

77.6%1.29× payout

vol $76.8koi $117.8k

21.8%4.59× payout

vol $56.5koi $427.3k

SelectedC

Rate cut

0.5%200× payout

vol $119oi $306.1k

Macro#12280C

Rate cut

Side: YesNo:99.5%

0.5%

+40.8% 24h

Trade on Hyperliquid

Trade on Hyperliquid

Active market — no actionable signal right now.

POLLED

Bid / Ask—

24h volume$119

Open interest$306.1k

Expiry—(2026-10-28 23:59:00Z)

Probability

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Snapshot history

hourly · 90d retention

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YES + NO price sum

Yes0.5%

No99.5%

Mid sum100.0%

Ask sumnot quoted

Mid-based sum is indicative. Check the order book to estimate executable cost.

Market Note

Market is pricing a near-certain outcome at 0.5%. Consider the asymmetric risk/reward before trading.