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Event#191 · 3 candidates
Fed rate decision — September 2026
decisionDeadline:20261028-2359|decisionLabel:September 2026|institution:Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee|officialSource:Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee|policyMeasure:the upper bound target range for the federal funds rate|scheduledDecision:20260916-1800
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Σ 99.9%
Candidates · pick another to switch3 of 3
SelectedA
Rate hike
77.6%1.29× payout
vol $76.8koi $117.8k
CandidateA
No rate change
21.8%4.59× payout
vol $56.5koi $427.3k
CandidateC
Rate cut
0.5%200× payout
vol $119oi $306.1k
Macro#12290A

Rate hike

Side: YesNo:22.4%
77.6%
+30.1% 24h
Trade on Hyperliquid
Active market — no actionable signal right now.
POLLED
Bid / Ask—
24h volume$76.8k
Open interest$117.8k
Expiry—(2026-10-28 23:59:00Z)
Probability
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Snapshot history
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YES + NO price sum
Yes77.6%
No22.4%
Mid sum100.0%
Ask sumnot quoted
Mid-based sum is indicative. Check the order book to estimate executable cost.