HIP-4
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Event
#289 · 3 candidates
Fed rate decision — October 2026
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Σ 100.3%
Candidates · pick another to switch
3 of 3
Candidate
A
No rate change
94.0%
1.06× payout
vol $180.4k
oi $354.1k
Candidate
C
Rate hike
6.0%
17× payout
vol $140
oi $98.3k
Candidate
D
Rate cut
0.3%
333× payout
vol $17
oi $37.7k
Macro
#36021
B
Rate hike
Side:
No
Yes:
6.0%
94.0%
-2.1% 24h
Trade on Hyperliquid
Trade on Hyperliquid
Active market — no actionable signal right now.
POLLED
Bid / Ask
—
24h volume
$2.3k
Open interest
$60.9k
Expiry
—
(2026-12-09 23:00:00Z)
Probability
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Snapshot history
hourly · 90d retention
7d
30d
90d
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YES + NO price sum
Yes
6.0%
No
94.0%
Mid sum
100.0%
Ask sum
not quoted
Mid-based sum is indicative. Check the order book to estimate executable cost.
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