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Event#191 · 3 candidates
Fed rate decision — September 2026
decisionDeadline:20261028-2359|decisionLabel:September 2026|institution:Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee|officialSource:Federal Reserve's Open Market Committee|policyMeasure:the upper bound target range for the federal funds rate|scheduledDecision:20260916-1800
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Σ 100.0%
Candidates · pick another to switch3 of 3
CandidateA
Rate hike
77.5%1.29× payout
vol $76.8koi $117.9k
CandidateA
No rate change
22.1%4.52× payout
vol $55.3koi $428.9k
CandidateC
Rate cut
0.4%250× payout
vol $118oi $306.1k
Macro#12291A

Rate hike

Side: NoYes:77.5%
22.5%
-44.0% 24h
Trade on Hyperliquid
Active market — no actionable signal right now.
POLLED
Bid / Ask—
24h volume$24.9k
Open interest$61.6k
Expiry—(2026-10-28 23:59:00Z)
Probability
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Snapshot history
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YES + NO price sum
Yes77.5%
No22.5%
Mid sum100.0%
Ask sumnot quoted
Mid-based sum is indicative. Check the order book to estimate executable cost.