Probability
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Snapshot history
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BTC Outcome Contracts37
Same underlying — use to hedge perps or express different views on this asset.
BTC touches $65,000 by Oct 1 — No91.5%BTC touches $60,000 by Oct 1 — No97.6%BTC touches $85,000 by Oct 1 — No74.0%BTC touches $90,000 by Oct 1 — No90.5%BTC touches $95,000 by Oct 1 — No96.7%BTC touches $85,000 by Oct 1 — Yes26.0%BTC touches $100,000 by Oct 1 — No98.7%BTC touches $70,000 by Oct 1 — No74.7%BTC touches $65,000 by Oct 1 — Yes8.5%BTC touches $70,000 by Oct 1 — Yes25.3%BTC touches $90,000 by Oct 1 — Yes9.5%BTC > $77,179 (Sep 13) [1d] — Yes57.8%BTC > $77,179 (Sep 13) [1d] — No42.2%BTC touches $95,000 by Oct 1 — Yes3.3%BTC touches $60,000 by Oct 1 — Yes2.4%BTC > $100,000 (Oct 1) — No98.2%BTC touches $100,000 by Oct 1 — Yes1.3%BTC: Above $78,722 (Sep 13) — No95.8%BTC > $77,259 (Sep 12) — Yes69.2%BTC > $77,259 (Sep 12) — No30.8%BTC > $100,000 (Oct 1) — Yes1.9%BTC > $77,000 (Sep 12) — Yes88.0%BTC: $75,635 to $78,722 (Sep 13) — Yes50.0%BTC: $75,635 to $78,722 (Sep 13) — No50.0%BTC: Above $78,722 (Sep 13) — Yes4.2%BTC > $77,000 (Sep 12) — No12.0%BTC > $77,250 (Sep 12) — Yes58.5%BTC > $77,250 (Sep 12) — No41.5%BTC > $77,500 (Sep 12) — Yes16.5%BTC > $77,500 (Sep 12) — No83.5%BTC > $77,295 (Sep 12) — Yes51.0%BTC > $77,295 (Sep 12) — No49.0%BTC > $76,650 (Sep 13) — Yes50.0%BTC > $76,650 (Sep 13) — No50.0%BTC > $77,850 (Sep 13) — No52.0%BTC: Below $75,635 (Sep 13) — Yes2.3%BTC: Below $75,635 (Sep 13) — No97.7%
YES + NO price sum
Yes48.0%
No52.0%
Mid sum100.0%
Ask sumnot quoted
Mid-based sum is indicative. Check the order book to estimate executable cost.
Market Note
Resolves on the Hyperliquid BTC perp trade · 90s TWAP (deployer-declared)