Probability
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Snapshot history
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SP500 Outcome Contracts19
Same underlying — use to hedge perps or express different views on this asset.
SP500 > $7,660 (Oct 23) — Yes52.8%SP500 > $7,660 (Oct 23) — No47.2%SP500 > $7,590 (Oct 23) — No15.0%SP500 > $7,695 (Oct 28) — Yes46.4%SP500 > $7,695 (Oct 28) — No53.6%SP500 > $7,665 (Oct 23) — Yes54.1%SP500 > $7,665 (Oct 23) — No45.9%SP500 > $7,740 (Oct 23) — Yes12.5%SP500 > $7,740 (Oct 23) — No87.5%SP500 > $7,770 (Oct 28) — Yes26.1%SP500 > $7,770 (Oct 28) — No73.9%SP500 > $7,845 (Oct 28) — Yes8.8%SP500 > $7,845 (Oct 28) — No91.2%SP500 > $7,625 (Oct 26) — Yes70.8%SP500 > $7,625 (Oct 26) — No29.2%SP500 > $7,700 (Oct 26) — Yes41.9%SP500 > $7,700 (Oct 26) — No58.1%SP500 > $7,775 (Oct 26) — Yes13.2%SP500 > $7,775 (Oct 26) — No86.8%
YES + NO price sum
Yes85.0%
No15.0%
Mid sum100.0%
Ask sumnot quoted
Mid-based sum is indicative. Check the order book to estimate executable cost.
Market Note
Resolves on the Pyth US500 index price · 90s TWAP (deployer-declared)