Probability
Loading chart...
Snapshot history
Loading history…
SP500 Outcome Contracts19
Same underlying — use to hedge perps or express different views on this asset.
SP500 > $7,660 (Oct 23) — Yes52.0%SP500 > $7,660 (Oct 23) — No48.0%SP500 > $7,590 (Oct 23) — Yes85.2%SP500 > $7,590 (Oct 23) — No14.8%SP500 > $7,695 (Oct 28) — Yes46.4%SP500 > $7,695 (Oct 28) — No53.6%SP500 > $7,665 (Oct 23) — Yes53.9%SP500 > $7,665 (Oct 23) — No46.1%SP500 > $7,740 (Oct 23) — Yes12.2%SP500 > $7,740 (Oct 23) — No87.8%SP500 > $7,770 (Oct 28) — Yes26.1%SP500 > $7,770 (Oct 28) — No73.9%SP500 > $7,845 (Oct 28) — Yes8.8%SP500 > $7,845 (Oct 28) — No91.2%SP500 > $7,625 (Oct 26) — Yes70.8%SP500 > $7,625 (Oct 26) — No29.2%SP500 > $7,700 (Oct 26) — Yes41.9%SP500 > $7,775 (Oct 26) — Yes13.2%SP500 > $7,775 (Oct 26) — No86.8%
YES + NO price sum
Yes41.9%
No58.1%
Mid sum100.0%
Ask sumnot quoted
Mid-based sum is indicative. Check the order book to estimate executable cost.
Market Note
Resolves on the Pyth US500 index price · 90s TWAP (deployer-declared)