Probability
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Snapshot history
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SP500 Outcome Contracts19
Same underlying — use to hedge perps or express different views on this asset.
SP500 > $7,660 (Oct 23) — No47.2%SP500 > $7,590 (Oct 23) — Yes85.7%SP500 > $7,590 (Oct 23) — No14.3%SP500 > $7,695 (Oct 28) — Yes45.4%SP500 > $7,695 (Oct 28) — No54.6%SP500 > $7,665 (Oct 23) — Yes53.4%SP500 > $7,665 (Oct 23) — No46.6%SP500 > $7,740 (Oct 23) — Yes12.7%SP500 > $7,740 (Oct 23) — No87.3%SP500 > $7,770 (Oct 28) — Yes26.0%SP500 > $7,770 (Oct 28) — No74.0%SP500 > $7,845 (Oct 28) — Yes8.8%SP500 > $7,845 (Oct 28) — No91.2%SP500 > $7,625 (Oct 26) — Yes71.4%SP500 > $7,625 (Oct 26) — No28.6%SP500 > $7,700 (Oct 26) — Yes42.3%SP500 > $7,700 (Oct 26) — No57.7%SP500 > $7,775 (Oct 26) — Yes13.2%SP500 > $7,775 (Oct 26) — No86.8%
YES + NO price sum
Yes52.8%
No47.2%
Mid sum100.0%
Ask sumnot quoted
Mid-based sum is indicative. Check the order book to estimate executable cost.
Market Note
Resolves on xyz:SP500-USDC perp mark · 60s TWAP (deployer-declared)