Probability
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Snapshot history
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SP500 Outcome Contracts19
Same underlying — use to hedge perps or express different views on this asset.
SP500 > $7,660 (Oct 23) — Yes54.4%SP500 > $7,660 (Oct 23) — No45.6%SP500 > $7,590 (Oct 23) — Yes86.2%SP500 > $7,590 (Oct 23) — No13.8%SP500 > $7,695 (Oct 28) — No53.2%SP500 > $7,665 (Oct 23) — Yes55.2%SP500 > $7,665 (Oct 23) — No44.8%SP500 > $7,740 (Oct 23) — Yes13.4%SP500 > $7,740 (Oct 23) — No86.6%SP500 > $7,770 (Oct 28) — Yes26.2%SP500 > $7,770 (Oct 28) — No73.8%SP500 > $7,845 (Oct 28) — Yes8.6%SP500 > $7,845 (Oct 28) — No91.4%SP500 > $7,625 (Oct 26) — Yes71.5%SP500 > $7,625 (Oct 26) — No28.5%SP500 > $7,700 (Oct 26) — Yes42.6%SP500 > $7,700 (Oct 26) — No57.4%SP500 > $7,775 (Oct 26) — Yes13.4%SP500 > $7,775 (Oct 26) — No86.6%
YES + NO price sum
Yes46.8%
No53.2%
Mid sum100.0%
Ask sumnot quoted
Mid-based sum is indicative. Check the order book to estimate executable cost.
Market Note
Resolves on the Pyth US500 index price · 90s TWAP (deployer-declared)