Probability
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Snapshot history
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SP500 Outcome Contracts19
Same underlying — use to hedge perps or express different views on this asset.
SP500 > $7,674 (Oct 27) — No54.5%SP500 > $7,770 (Oct 28) — No91.8%SP500 > $7,770 (Oct 28) — Yes8.2%SP500 > $7,695 (Oct 28) — Yes39.4%SP500 > $7,695 (Oct 28) — No60.6%SP500 > $7,555 (Oct 30) — Yes82.6%SP500 > $7,555 (Oct 30) — No17.4%SP500 > $7,630 (Oct 30) — Yes65.0%SP500 > $7,630 (Oct 30) — No35.0%SP500 > $7,705 (Oct 30) — Yes43.2%SP500 > $7,705 (Oct 30) — No56.8%SP500 > $7,845 (Oct 28) — Yes2.6%SP500 > $7,845 (Oct 28) — No97.4%SP500 > $7,590 (Nov 2) — Yes75.3%SP500 > $7,590 (Nov 2) — No24.7%SP500 > $7,665 (Nov 2) — Yes55.0%SP500 > $7,665 (Nov 2) — No45.0%SP500 > $7,740 (Nov 2) — Yes34.6%SP500 > $7,740 (Nov 2) — No65.4%
YES + NO price sum
Yes45.5%
No54.5%
Mid sum100.0%
Ask sumnot quoted
Mid-based sum is indicative. Check the order book to estimate executable cost.
Market Note
Resolves on xyz:SP500-USDC perp mark · 60s TWAP (deployer-declared)