Probability
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Snapshot history
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SP500 Outcome Contracts19
Same underlying — use to hedge perps or express different views on this asset.
SP500 > $7,674 (Oct 27) — Yes46.7%SP500 > $7,674 (Oct 27) — No53.3%SP500 > $7,770 (Oct 28) — No92.5%SP500 > $7,770 (Oct 28) — Yes7.5%SP500 > $7,695 (Oct 28) — Yes39.2%SP500 > $7,695 (Oct 28) — No60.8%SP500 > $7,555 (Oct 30) — Yes83.0%SP500 > $7,555 (Oct 30) — No17.0%SP500 > $7,630 (Oct 30) — Yes67.0%SP500 > $7,630 (Oct 30) — No33.0%SP500 > $7,705 (Oct 30) — Yes44.4%SP500 > $7,845 (Oct 28) — Yes2.5%SP500 > $7,845 (Oct 28) — No97.5%SP500 > $7,590 (Nov 2) — Yes76.0%SP500 > $7,590 (Nov 2) — No24.0%SP500 > $7,665 (Nov 2) — Yes55.5%SP500 > $7,665 (Nov 2) — No44.5%SP500 > $7,740 (Nov 2) — Yes34.9%SP500 > $7,740 (Nov 2) — No65.1%
YES + NO price sum
Yes44.4%
No55.6%
Mid sum100.0%
Ask sumnot quoted
Mid-based sum is indicative. Check the order book to estimate executable cost.
Market Note
Resolves on the Pyth US500 index price · 90s TWAP (deployer-declared)