Probability
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Snapshot history
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SP500 Outcome Contracts19
Same underlying — use to hedge perps or express different views on this asset.
SP500 > $7,674 (Oct 27) — Yes45.9%SP500 > $7,674 (Oct 27) — No54.1%SP500 > $7,770 (Oct 28) — No92.6%SP500 > $7,770 (Oct 28) — Yes7.5%SP500 > $7,695 (Oct 28) — Yes38.3%SP500 > $7,695 (Oct 28) — No61.7%SP500 > $7,555 (Oct 30) — Yes83.2%SP500 > $7,555 (Oct 30) — No16.8%SP500 > $7,630 (Oct 30) — Yes65.6%SP500 > $7,630 (Oct 30) — No34.4%SP500 > $7,705 (Oct 30) — Yes43.9%SP500 > $7,705 (Oct 30) — No56.1%SP500 > $7,845 (Oct 28) — Yes2.6%SP500 > $7,845 (Oct 28) — No97.4%SP500 > $7,590 (Nov 2) — Yes75.8%SP500 > $7,590 (Nov 2) — No24.2%SP500 > $7,665 (Nov 2) — Yes54.8%SP500 > $7,665 (Nov 2) — No45.2%SP500 > $7,740 (Nov 2) — No65.2%
YES + NO price sum
Yes34.8%
No65.2%
Mid sum100.0%
Ask sumnot quoted
Mid-based sum is indicative. Check the order book to estimate executable cost.
Market Note
Resolves on the Pyth US500 index price · 90s TWAP (deployer-declared)